Event-Driven Stocks

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

AGONYSE

Financials · Surety Insurance · D0 · SEC filings ↗ · Compare ⊕

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Signs2 gooddetails ↓

Financials

SEC XBRL · annual
 FY25FY24FY23FY22FY21FY20
Revenue$0$0$53.0M$93.0M$88.0M$89.0M
Operating income
Net income$503.0M$376.0M$739.0M$124.0M$389.0M$362.0M
Total assets$12.18B$11.90B$12.54B$16.84B$18.21B$15.33B
Total liabilities$6.39B$6.35B$6.77B$11.55B$11.71B$8.63B
Equity$5.66B$5.50B$5.71B$5.06B$6.29B$6.64B
EPS (diluted)$10.26$6.87$12.30$1.92$5.23$4.19
Shares out.50.1M55.5M59.1M66.1M76.7M92.6M

Reported figures from the company's SEC filings (XBRL). Blank where a line item isn't cleanly tagged — never estimated.

Key ratios

from filings · FY2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Return on equity
8.9%
Return on assets
4.1%
Return on capital (ROCE)
Liabilities / assets
52.5%
Debt / equity
1.13×
Book value / share
$113.03
Revenue growth (YoY)
Net income growth (YoY)
33.8%

Computed from the company's own SEC figures — no market price, so these are facts, not a valuation. Book value per share is reported equity ÷ shares; it is not the stock price.

Financial health

forensic scores · FY2025
Accruals / assets
2.0%clean
Piotroski F-Score
5/7mixed

Altman Z″is a textbook bankruptcy-distress score from book values only (>2.6 safe · 1.1–2.6 grey · <1.1 distress). Accruals = (net income − operating cash flow) ÷ assets; persistently high accruals are an earnings-quality red flag. Beneish M-Scoreis an eight-ratio screen comparing this year with last (M > −1.78 = elevated manipulation-risk screen, not proof). Piotroski F-Scorecounts how many of nine fundamental-health checks pass (shown as passed / applicable; we use operating margin and total liabilities as documented proxies where the exact input isn't XBRL-tagged). Computed from SEC filings — descriptive factors, not advice or a forecast.

Quality score

EDS Score
80
/ 100
Profitability 100Growth 100Catalyst 33Earnings quality 67Financial strength 100

Our own multi-factor score from free SEC data — profitability, growth, financial strength, earnings quality, and event/ownership catalysts. No market price and no licensed model: each axis is the share of source-backed checks it passes. Descriptive factors, not advice or a forecast. What these scores mean →

Signs

2 good
  • Positive operating cash flow
  • Clean earnings (low accruals)

Derived from the company's own SEC figures (fundamentals, forensic scores, filing discipline) — descriptive factors, not advice or a forecast.

5%+ owners

SEC Schedule 13D / 13G · last 3 yrs

Holders who disclosed a 5%+ stake. 13D signals intent to influence or control; 13G is a passive holding. Latest filing per holder — open it for the exact stake.

Insider transactions

SEC Form 4 · most recent
5 acquisitions7 disposalsnet +32,582 shares · last 12
InsiderDateTypeSharesPrice
Radtke LorinDirectorMay 29, 2026Sell1,047$74.32
Borges Francisco LDirectorMay 28, 2026Gift74$0.00
Borges Francisco LDirectorMay 21, 2026Gift427$0.00
Bailenson RobertOfficer — Chief Operating OfficerMay 11, 2026Sell17,647$78.24
Frederico DominicOfficer — President/CEO/Deputy ChairmanMay 1, 2026Grant33,980$0.00
Bailenson RobertOfficer — Chief Operating OfficerMay 1, 2026Grant7,806$0.00
Donnarumma StephenOfficer — Chief Credit OfficerMay 1, 2026Grant3,490$0.00
Horn HollyOfficer — Chief Surveillance OfficerMay 1, 2026Grant2,755$0.00
Chow LingOfficer — General Counsel and SecretaryMay 1, 2026Grant5,970$0.00
Rosenblum Benjamin G.Officer — CFOMay 1, 2026Tax withholding637$80.86
Kreczko Alan JDirectorApr 30, 2026Tax withholding626$81.90
Batten MarkDirectorApr 30, 2026Tax withholding961$81.90

Headline trade per Form 4 (officers, directors, 10%+ owners). Buy/sell read from the filing's structured data — blank where a field isn't cleanly tagged.

Short interest

FINRA · bi-monthly
SettlementShares shortDays to coverΔ vs prior
May 15, 20261.9M3.3+1.4%
Apr 30, 20261.9M5.0+29.7%
Apr 15, 20261.5M5.1+6.6%
Mar 31, 20261.4M4.2+8.4%
Mar 13, 20261.3M3.9+5.5%

Shares sold short as reported to FINRA. Days-to-cover = short shares ÷ average daily volume — higher means more potential squeeze pressure.

Material events

SEC Form 8-K · most recent

Events the company reported on Form 8-K, labelled by the SEC item code it filed under — its own classification, not our interpretation.

Recent SEC filings

All filings ↗

Event-driven situations (1)

Spot an error in this record? Report it. Every correction is verified against the source filing before we change anything.