Event-Driven Stocks

FREDS INC

Consumer Discretionary · Retail-Variety Stores · TN · SEC filings ↗ · Compare ⊕

Signs2 good3 warning2 severedetails ↓

Financials

SEC XBRL · annual
 FY19FY18FY17FY16FY15FY14
Revenue$1.27B$1.40B$1.89B$1.95B$1.97B$1.94B
Operating income−$129.6M−$131.7M−$77.7M−$12.9M−$48.4M$39.2M
Net income−$13.0M−$150.2M−$66.5M−$7.4M−$28.9M$26.0M
Total assets$409.0M$597.6M$699.4M$730.5M$646.5M$667.8M
Total liabilities$243.6M$416.5M$362.2M$326.3M$230.8M$216.2M
Equity$165.5M$181.0M$337.2M$404.2M$415.6M$451.5M
EPS (diluted)$-0.36$-4.02$-1.80$-0.20$-0.80$0.71
Shares out.36,51037,39236,87636,67536,31336,720

Reported figures from the company's SEC filings (XBRL). Blank where a line item isn't cleanly tagged — never estimated.

Key ratios

from filings · FY2019
Operating margin
−10.2%
Net margin
−1.0%
Return on equity
−7.8%
Return on assets
−3.2%
Return on capital (ROCE)
−66.5%
Liabilities / assets
59.5%
Debt / equity
1.47×
Book value / share
$4532.05
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.9%
Net income growth (YoY)

Computed from the company's own SEC figures — no market price, so these are facts, not a valuation. Book value per share is reported equity ÷ shares; it is not the stock price.

Financial health

forensic scores · FY2019
Altman Z″ (distress)
0.60distress
Accruals / assets
25.6%clean
Beneish M-Score
-4.22normal
Piotroski F-Score
6/9mixed

Altman Z″is a textbook bankruptcy-distress score from book values only (>2.6 safe · 1.1–2.6 grey · <1.1 distress). Accruals = (net income − operating cash flow) ÷ assets; persistently high accruals are an earnings-quality red flag. Beneish M-Scoreis an eight-ratio screen comparing this year with last (M > −1.78 = elevated manipulation-risk screen, not proof). Piotroski F-Scorecounts how many of nine fundamental-health checks pass (shown as passed / applicable; we use operating margin and total liabilities as documented proxies where the exact input isn't XBRL-tagged). Computed from SEC filings — descriptive factors, not advice or a forecast.

Quality score

EDS Score
42
/ 100
Profitability 0Growth 0Catalyst 33Earnings quality 100Financial strength 75

Our own multi-factor score from free SEC data — profitability, growth, financial strength, earnings quality, and event/ownership catalysts. No market price and no licensed model: each axis is the share of source-backed checks it passes. Descriptive factors, not advice or a forecast.

Signs

2 severe3 warning2 good
  • Altman Z″ in the distress zone
  • Filed a late-filing notice (Form NT) — missed an SEC deadline
  • Operating losses (negative operating margin)
  • Reported a net loss
  • Revenue declined year-over-year
  • Positive operating cash flow
  • Clean earnings (low accruals)

Derived from the company's own SEC figures (fundamentals, forensic scores, filing discipline) — descriptive factors, not advice or a forecast.

Risk flags

late SEC filings

A Form NT means the company notified the SEC it would file a periodic report late — often an accounting, audit or liquidity warning sign. Also search SEC enforcement actions for this company.

Material events

SEC Form 8-K · most recent

Events the company reported on Form 8-K, labelled by the SEC item code it filed under — its own classification, not our interpretation.

Recent SEC filings

All filings ↗

Event-driven situations (1)